After the match against Colombia, the supercomputer of the analytics company “Opta” recalculated the chances of teams participating in the 2026 World Cup. This is stated in the company's data.
According to the updated forecast, the probability of the Uzbekistan national team finishing first in its group is 0.99%. The team's chance of reaching the playoff stage is estimated at 21.9%.
According to supercomputer calculations, Uzbekistan's probability of reaching the round of 32 is also 21.9%. The team's chance of advancing to the round of 16 is shown as 4.55%, and the probability of reaching the quarterfinals is 1.26%.
Also, Uzbekistan's chance of reaching the semifinals is estimated at 0.33%, the probability of reaching the final is 0.08%. The team's probability of becoming world champion is 0.01%.
According to “Opta” forecasts, the French national team is currently the main favorite of the tournament. In 15.73% of the 10 thousand simulations conducted by the supercomputer, the French were recorded as champions.
England and Argentina are also on the list of main contenders for the championship. England's probability of winning is 12.33%, while current world champion Argentina is given a 12.28% chance.
For reference, before the start of the tournament, Spain was assessed as the main favorite. However, after a defeat in the first round, the Spaniards' probability of winning dropped to 12.08%, and they fell to fourth place in the ranking.
